NAEEEP: Projected Impacts 2005-2020 -
When You Keep Measuring It, You Know Even More About It!

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Summary

This report prepared by George Wilkenfeld & Associates for NAEEEC and was released in January 2005 as Report 2005/05.

This study projects the impacts of the National Appliance and Equipment Energy Efficiency Program (NAEEEP) over the period 2005-2020. It updates and expands the analysis in two previous studies which were undertaken 5 years ago (in 2000) and 2 years ago (in 2003) to include new program proposals under NAEEEP.

NAEEEP comprises both mandatory and voluntary energy efficiency programs, including energy labelling and Minimum Energy Performance Standards (MEPS) for a wide range of household, commercial and industrial appliances and equipment. Some of these measures have been implemented, some are at advanced stages of development with target implementation dates, and some are still being developed. All programs included in the latest NAEEEP work program for the period 2005 to 2007 are covered by this study.

Savings are projected to reach over 100 PJ per annum by 2020. The technologies contributing most to savings are electronics and standby (20%), major appliances (18%), airconditioning (18%) and lighting (17%). Savings are projected to reach nearly 300 PJ per annum by 2020: nearly 58% of this in the residential sector, 28% in the commercial sector and 14% from other sectors.The great majority of NAEEEP energy savings are electricity, although the Gas Equipment and Appliance Energy Efficiency Program (GAEEEP) element of the NAEEEP also contributes savings.

The savings estimates are significantly higher than the equivalent estimates in previous studies, because of the expanded scope of the NAEEEP. Estimated cost-effectiveness of the NAEEEP is still 1.7, well over the break-even point of 1.0, even at the relatively high discount rate of 10%. For each tonne of emissions saved there is a net benefit or negative cost of $23.

This page last modified 23 February 2006